Bill Proposed to Allow Homeowners to Dip Into 401K for Mortgage Payments

Two Georgia lawmakers have proposed a bill to allow people to use a part of their 401K in order to help pay their mortgage, according to a recent article in the San Francisco Chronicle. This would be a withdrawal from a 401K retirement savings without penalty.

Currently, there is a 10% penalty for withdrawing from a 401K prematurely. In addition, that money would be taxed as any withdrawn early is considered income. This bill would allow homeowners to avoid these fees.

Sen. Johnny Isakson (R-Georgia) and Rep. Tom Graves (R-Georgia) have introduced this bill, called the Hardship Outlays to protect Mortgagee Equity (HOME) Act, in hopes that people who have saved for retirement can use that money to avoid foreclosure.

The bill would allow withdrawal of up to $50,000 or half of the 401K, whichever is smaller. The income tax would still apply, but there would be no 10% penalty. What do you think about this idea, and would you withdraw from retirement savings to help pay your mortgage if it was passed?

Can Baby Boomers Boost the Market?

Baby Boomers – those between the ages of 47 to 65 – are in the best position to buy real estate that they’ve been in in years, according to a spokesperson for the National Association of Realtors, and could help revive the real estate market.

According to the Housing Affordability Index, affordability is at an all-time high, and many baby-boomers already have solid home equity to rely on.

The spokesperson said in an AOL Real Estate article that “the roadblock is really with first-time buyers… and many of them are being thwarted by credit issues.”

The article cites two major reasons that the baby boomer generation may boost the real estate market: that home equity, and a desire for ease of living factored into their real estate purchases.

A survey done by Met Life Mature Market Institute and National Association of Home Builders showed that 61% of those moving in to a 55+ community cited room layout as a decision-maker, as did 62% of those not moving into such a community, but in non-age-restricted communities. The vast majority of the generation falls in the second category, but the percentages are almost identical.

Room layout and the ease of living asks are not shared as a top priority with younger and first-time
buyers.

For more information on how the baby boomer generation may impact the real estate market, read the full article here.

Fed Looking to Further Lower Mortgage Rates

http://online.wsj.com/video/fed-seeking-to-lower-mortgage-rates-further/9ED6752D-3318-4397-BA0E-B22CBC0DC96A.html

Top Five Tips to Increase Your Home’s Appraisal Value

The importance of the appraisal in a real estate transaction can’t be overestimated. An appraisal can completely kill a deal if it does not turn out well.

The Wall Street Journal recently posted an article with tips on upping your homes value during an appraisal, and here are some of our top picks:

1. Spruce up the house
While a couple of dishes in the sink won’t make a difference, there are quick fixes that do. Overgrown landscaping should be trimmed, and things like marks on walls and stained carpets should be cleaned. These affect the home’s overall value in appraisal, according to the WSJ.

2. Curb appeal matters
Take the time to mow the lawn, trim the hedges, and pull out any weeds. A nice-looking yard is not only a great first impression, but it can offset any nearby foreclosed properties.

3. Note the neighborhood improvements
Location, location, location! Make note of any changes to the neighborhood that are positive, such as a new playground or a Whole Foods nearby.

4. Keep the $500 rule in mind
According to the WSJ, appraisers often value a home in $500 increments. This means that if there is a repair over $500 that can or ought to be made, do it, or it could count against the property’s value.

5. Maintain a list of all updates to home
All updates, major and minor, to the home should be listed. “Itemize each update with the approximate date and approximate cost,” recommends Matthew George, the chief appraiser of Eagle Appraisals Inc. Remember to include things the appraiser might not notice, such as insulation and roof updates.

This Week’s Market Commentary

This week brings us the release of seven economic reports and two relevant Treasury auctions for the bond market to digest. There is nothing of importance scheduled for release today, but we do have something to watch every other day.

The data ranges from low importance to extremely important so some reports will have a much bigger impact on trading than others. We also need to keep an eye on the stock markets as they have been heavily influential on bond market direction recently. In other words, there is a pretty good chance of seeing noticeable movement in mortgage rates several days this week, especially if the major stock indexes rally or post sizable losses.

October’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is the first release of the week and Tuesday’s only news. This Conference Board index will be released at 10:00 AM ET. It gives us a measurement of consumer willingness to spend and is expected to show a small increase in confidence from last month’s 45.4 reading.
That would mean that consumers felt a little better about their own financial situations than last month, indicating they are slightly more likely to make large purchases in the near future. As long as the reading doesn’t exceed the forecasted 46.0, we will likely see the bond market react favorably to this report. This data is watched closely because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

Early Wednesday morning, the Commerce Department will post Durable Goods Orders for September. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders at U.S. factories for big-ticket items, or products that are expected to last three or more years. Analysts are currently calling for a decline in new orders of approximately 1.0%. If we see an unexpected increase in orders, mortgage rates will probably rise as bond prices fall. A weaker than expected reading should be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates, but this data can be quite volatile from month to month and is difficult to forecast. Therefore, a small variance from forecasts likely will have little impact on bond trading or mortgage pricing.

Also Wednesday is the release of September’s New Home Sales at 10:00 AM ET. This data covers the remaining 15% of home sales that last week’s Existing Home Sales report didn’t include and is this week’s least important data. It is expected to show an increase in sales of newly constructed homes, but regardless of its results I am not expecting it to have a significant impact on mortgage rates Wednesday.

Thursday’s only monthly or quarterly data is not only the most important report of the week, but also the most important we see regularly. The preliminary reading of the 3rd Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be released early Thursday morning. The GDP is considered to be the benchmark measurement of economic growth because it is the sum of all goods and services produced in the U.S. and therefore is likely to have a major impact on the financial markets and mortgage pricing. There are three versions of this report, each a month apart. Thursday’s release is the first and usually has the biggest impact on the markets. Current forecasts call for an increase of approximately 2.2% in the GDP, which would mean that the economy grew at a noticeably quicker pace than the 2nd quarter’s 1.3%. If this report does show a much smaller increase, I am expecting to see the bond market rally and mortgage rates fall. However, a larger than expected rise could lead to a rally in stocks, bond selling and a sizable increase in mortgage pricing Thursday.

There are three reports scheduled for release Friday that may affect mortgage rates. The first comes at 8:30 AM ET when September’s Personal Income and Outlays report will be posted. This data gives us an indication of consumer ability to spend and current spending habits. It is important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Rising income generally indicates that consumers have more money to spend, making economic growth more of a possibility. This is bad news for the bond market and mortgage rates because it raises inflation concerns, making long-term securities such as mortgage related bonds less attractive to investors. Analysts are expecting to see a 0.3% increase in income and a 0.6% rise in spending. Smaller than expected increases in both readings would be good news for the bond market and mortgage pricing.

The second report of the day is the 3rd Quarter Employment Cost Index (ECI), also at 8:30 AM ET. This data tracks employer costs for salaries and benefits, giving us an indication of wage inflation pressures. Rapidly rising costs raises wage inflation concerns and may hurt bond prices. It is expected to show an increase in costs of 0.6%. A smaller than expected increase would be good news for mortgage rates.
The week’s last report comes just before 10:00 AM ET Friday when the University of Michigan updates their Index of Consumer Sentiment for this month. Current forecasts show this index remaining nearly unchanged from the preliminary reading of 57.5. This report is moderately important because it helps us measure consumer confidence, which is believed to indicate consumers’ willingness to spend. As with Tuesday’s CCI release, the lower the reading, the better the news for mortgage shoppers.

This week also has Treasury auctions scheduled each day except Friday. The only two that are likely to influence mortgage rates are Wednesday’s 5-year and Thursday’s 7-year Note sales. If those sales are met with a strong demand, particularly Thursday’s auction, bond prices may rise during afternoon trading. This could lead to improvements to mortgage rates shortly after the results of the sales are posted at 1:00 PM ET each day. But a lackluster investor interest may create selling in the broader bond market and lead to upward revisions to mortgage rates.

Overall, it will likely be an active week for the markets and mortgage rates. I believe that the single most important day will probably end up being Thursday with the extremely important GDP release in the morning and the 7-year Treasury Note auction in the afternoon, but Friday has three reports scheduled so it is expected to be active also. Today is likely to be the least important day, but we still could see some movement in rates as the markets prepare for the upcoming week. Accordingly, I strongly recommend maintaining contact with your mortgage professional this week, especially if still floating an interest rate.

This Week’s Market Commentary

This week brings us the release of only three monthly reports that are relevant to mortgage rates in addition to another FOMC meeting. None of the economic reports are considered to be of high importance. In fact, all of them are thought to be low or moderately important to the financial markets.

This should help limit the possibility of significant changes to mortgage rates most days this week, with exception to the FOMC meeting results.

There is nothing of concern scheduled for release tomorrow, so look for the stock markets to be the biggest influence on bond trading and mortgage rates. If the stock markets extend last week’s streak of gains, we may see pressure in the bond market and small upward changes to mortgage pricing tomorrow. However, if the week starts off with a weak opening in stocks, bonds and mortgage borrowers should benefit.

August’s Housing Starts will kick-off the week’s data early Tuesday morning. This report will probably not have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand by tracking construction starts of new homes, but is usually considered to be of low importance to the financial and mortgage markets. It is expected to show a decline in new home starts between July and August. I believe we need to see a significant surprise in this data for it to have a noticeable impact on mortgage rates Tuesday.

August’s Existing Home Sales report will be released late Wednesday morning. The National Association of Realtors posts this data, giving us an indication of housing sector strength by tracking home resales. It is expected to show a small increase from July’s sales, however, this data probably will be neutral towards mortgage pricing unless its results vary greatly from forecasts. Market traders will likely be more focused on the afternoon activities.

The FOMC meeting begins Tuesday and is a two-day meeting. Mr. Bernanke and friends will adjourn at 2:15 PM ET Wednesday. There is no chance of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed’s next move may come.

Market participants are anxiously waiting to hear what the Fed has in mind to help stimulate economic activity. Many feel that there isn’t much that they can do at this point to quickly boost economic growth. This was originally scheduled to be a single day meeting, but was extended to a two-day meeting to allow more time for them to discuss their options. Needless to say, it will be an interesting afternoon Wednesday when the post-meeting statement is read.

The Conference Board will post its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August late Thursday morning. The LEI index attempts to measure economic activity over the next three to six months. It is expected to show a 0.1% rise, meaning that it is predicting a slight increase in economic activity over the next several months. A larger than expected increase would be considered negative news for bonds and could lead to a minor increase in mortgage rates Thursday.

Overall, there really isn’t a specific report that stands out as the most important of the week. The most important day is Wednesday with the housing data and the FOMC meeting, but I don’t believe any of this week’s economic data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. However, we still may see some changes in rates day-to-day, especially if the stock markets move significantly higher or lower. If still floating an interest rate, continued contact with your mortgage professional is recommended, especially the middle part of the week.

This Week’s Market Commentary

This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates in addition to two Treasury auctions. A couple of these reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days.

The week’s first event is a 10-year Treasury Note auction Tuesday, which will be followed by a 30-year Bond auction Wednesday. It is fairly common to see some weakness in bonds before these sales as investors prepare for them. If the sales are met with a decent demand from investors, indicating interest in longer-term securities such as mortgage-related bonds still exists, the earlier losses are usually recovered after the results are announced. The results of the sales will be posted at 1:00 PM ET each day. If demand was strong, particularly from international investors, we should see mortgage rates improve during afternoon trading Tuesday and Wednesday.

The important economic data starts Wednesday morning when August’s Retail Sales report and Producer Price Index (PPI) will both be posted early morning. The sales report will give us a very important measurement of consumer spending, which is extremely relevant to the markets because it makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.2% increase in sales. Analysts are also calling for a 0.3% rise in sales if more volatile auto transactions are excluded. Larger than expected increases would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing since it would indicate economic growth.

One of the week’s two important inflation readings is the second report scheduled for release Wednesday morning. The Labor Department will post August’s Producer Price Index (PPI), giving us an important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two since it excludes more volatile food and energy prices.

Analysts are predicting no change in the overall index, and a rise of 0.2% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market. That would be bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because inflation is the number one nemesis of the bond market as it erodes the value of a bond’s future fixed interest payments. As inflation becomes more of a concern in the markets, bonds become less appealing to investors, leading to falling prices and higher mortgage rates.

Thursday also has two reports scheduled, but one is much more important than the other. The first is August’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) during early morning hours. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each month. It is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with its’ sister PPI report, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts show a 0.2% increase in the overall reading and a 0.2% rise in the core data reading. As with the PPI, a larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Thursday.

August’s Industrial Production data will be posted mid-morning Thursday. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are expecting to see little change from July’s level of output. A sizable increase could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would indicate a still softening manufacturing sector and would be considered good news for bonds and mortgage rates. However, the CPI is the key data of the day and will likely influence mortgage pricing much more than the production data will.

The last release of the week will be posted by the University of Michigan late Friday morning. Their Index of Consumer Sentiment will give us an indication of consumer confidence, which hints at consumers’ willingness to spend. If confidence is rising, consumers are more apt to make large purchases. But, if they are growing more concerned of their personal financial situations, they probably will delay making that large purchase. This influences future consumer spending data and can impact the financial markets. It is expected to show a reading of 56.3, which would mean confidence rose from August’s level. That would be considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because strengthening consumer spending fuels economic growth.

Overall, I think we need to label Wednesday or Thursday as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and CPI reports being released respectively. However, Tuesday’s 10-year Treasury Note auction also has the potential to heavily influence bond trading and mortgage rates. Today will probably end up being the calmest day for mortgage rates, but we still may see minor changes if the stock markets show much movement.